The United States Institute of Peace (USIP), has stated that President Muhammadu Buhari of the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC) will defeat opposition candidate Atiku Abubakar and other presidential candidate in the 2019 presidential election, the institute also named States likely to experience violence during the election.
The institute said there is the likelihood of violence in, at least, eight states during the election.
This was part of USIP report it released on the forthcoming general elections.
The institute said the report was based on its interactions with Nigerians from different sectors.
According to USIP, “states such as Adamawa, Anambra, Ekiti, Kaduna, Kano, Lagos, Plateau, and Rivers are of greater risks of election violence.”
USIP added that it was up to the combined efforts of political parties, security agencies and the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, to curb violence in the election.
“Nigerians feared, however, that any regression from the level of performance achieved by INEC in 2015 could lead to violence, because some would view the failings not as a result of incompetence, but as deliberate attempts to frustrate the will of the voters.
“Some states have developed successful election conflict-mitigation practices. In the short amount of time remaining, INEC and the police should undertake a number of key reforms,” it said.
“The United States, along with other international supporters of the electoral process, should also intensify their efforts to reinforce the work of these key Nigerian institutions.
“Beyond institutional support, rather than apply a conventional approach to electoral violence mitigation, donor programming should adapt to Nigeria’s current context, political shifts, and opportunities, and be sufficiently flexible to respond to the risks distinct in each of Nigeria’s states.
“In advance of the election, international diplomatic efforts to preempt electoral violence need to be intensified. Regional and international actors should convey their expectations that political parties effectively address their internal disputes, and be ready to put on notice politicians responsible for escalating these disputes,” it added.